Handicapping the Kentucky Derby
One of the toughest bets in the world of sports to pick correctly is the Kentucky Derby. You have a huge field of horses to pick from and historically the favorite never wins, so what’s a bettor with limited horse-racing understanding to do? Most observers Kentucky Derby knowledge is limited to the fact that the race is comprised of horses, is run in Kentucky and the winner gets one of those wreath thingys.
Looking for more info on handicapping the Kentucky Derby? Here's a great article.
Even with a large number of horses running for the roses, you can actually narrow down the field of horses that are worth a bet by looking at the Derby’s history. Like we said earlier the first thing to remember when placing your bets is that the post favorite almost never wins the Derby. For the rest of our historical handicapping you’ll have to do a little research on the horses.
The first thing to look into is the horse’s trainers and jockeys. You’ll want to avoid placing your hard-earned money on any trainers or jockeys that are making their Derby debut. The grand stage of the Derby has tended to get to these rookies and keeps them from crossing the finish line first in their debut appearance.
After checking out the jockeys and trainers you’ll need to examine the recent results. Your Derby winner must be a stakes winner and should have run in at least one 1 1/8-mile prep race. You’ll also want to make sure your horse is ready for the Derby, but not too tired. Ideally, you’ll want your horse to have run in three to four Derby prep races. No more, no less.
By now you should have cut down the field of possible picks by at least a few horses. Now comes the more in-depth research. Most Derby winners tend to be horses with good tactical speed and an ability to stalk from the middle of the field. The horses you’ll want to avoid are horses that simply boast pure speed but lack important stamina, and horses renowned for making rallies from the back of the pack. Once a horse falls to the back of the pack in the Derby they’re not going to get to the front.
This isn’t where Derby handicapping stops, but it’s a good starting point for Kentucky Derby betting newbies and veteran bettors who are still looking to crack the winner’s circle at Churchill Downs.
Technorati tag(s): kentucky derby, derby winners, churchill downs
Looking for more info on handicapping the Kentucky Derby? Here's a great article.
Even with a large number of horses running for the roses, you can actually narrow down the field of horses that are worth a bet by looking at the Derby’s history. Like we said earlier the first thing to remember when placing your bets is that the post favorite almost never wins the Derby. For the rest of our historical handicapping you’ll have to do a little research on the horses.
The first thing to look into is the horse’s trainers and jockeys. You’ll want to avoid placing your hard-earned money on any trainers or jockeys that are making their Derby debut. The grand stage of the Derby has tended to get to these rookies and keeps them from crossing the finish line first in their debut appearance.
After checking out the jockeys and trainers you’ll need to examine the recent results. Your Derby winner must be a stakes winner and should have run in at least one 1 1/8-mile prep race. You’ll also want to make sure your horse is ready for the Derby, but not too tired. Ideally, you’ll want your horse to have run in three to four Derby prep races. No more, no less.
By now you should have cut down the field of possible picks by at least a few horses. Now comes the more in-depth research. Most Derby winners tend to be horses with good tactical speed and an ability to stalk from the middle of the field. The horses you’ll want to avoid are horses that simply boast pure speed but lack important stamina, and horses renowned for making rallies from the back of the pack. Once a horse falls to the back of the pack in the Derby they’re not going to get to the front.
This isn’t where Derby handicapping stops, but it’s a good starting point for Kentucky Derby betting newbies and veteran bettors who are still looking to crack the winner’s circle at Churchill Downs.
Technorati tag(s): kentucky derby, derby winners, churchill downs
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